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Aggregating Statistical Models and Human Judgment to forecast COVID-19
Forecasting the trajectory of the US COVID-19 pandemic can support public health officials who make decisions with partial knowledge of how the virus will evolve over time. Computational models are capable of processing large, structured datasets.
Jun 2, 2021 12:00 AM
Zoom
Slides
Metaforecasting the US COVID-19 outbreak
Feb 10, 2021 12:00 AM
Zoom
Slides
A consensus of probabilistic predictions by experts and trained forecasters of the timing and efficacy of a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine
A safe, effective vaccine is a key component to slowing the spread of SARS- CoV- 2. But a recent poll suggests less than 50% of the US public would volunteer for inoculation, highlighting uncertainty surrounding the safety and efficacy of a vaccine.
Nov 2, 2020 12:00 AM
Zoom
Slides
Consensus probabilistic predictions of the timing, efficacy, and safety of a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine by experts and trained forecasters
In the first of our new Speaker Series exploring the science of forecasting, biostatistician @tomcm39 will present new research on Consensus Forecasting Models for COVID-19 Vaccines and Treatments, supporting policy makers and the public.
Oct 23, 2020 12:00 AM
Zoom
Slides
Aggregating Expert Opinion on COVID-19
Community-wide transmission of SARS-CoV-2 was reported in the US on February 26th. Since the virus was declared a pandemic by the WHO on March 11th, it has spread rapidly throughout the US and has caused more than 1.
Aug 3, 2020 12:00 AM
Zoom
Slides
Aggregating Expert Opinion on COVID-19
Community-wide transmission of SARS-CoV-2 was reported in the US on February 26th. Since the virus was declared a pandemic by the WHO on March 11th, it has spread rapidly throughout the US and has caused more than 1.
May 29, 2020 12:00 AM
Zoom
Slides
Combining human intuition with machine measurements for sharper estimates of left ventricular ejection fraction
Background: Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) is the most commonly used clinical measure of systolic function and is a powerful predictor of outcomes. Current guidelines recommend using the biplane method of discs (MOD) (modified Simpson’s rule) to measure LVEF however the accuracy of this measurement is dependent on endocardial border detection and orthogonal, on-axis biplane imaging, and studies report both inter and intraobserver variability.
Jun 22, 2018 12:00 AM
Nashville, TN
Slides
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