FluSight Network Ensemble
Date
Aug 20, 2019 12:00 AM
Event
CSTE/CDC FluSight Seasonal Influenza Forecasting Workshop
Location
Atlanta, Georgia
We present three combination forecasting techniques.
The FluSight Network (FSN) ensemble model is a multimodel ensemble; a convex combination of component predictive densities.
The adaptive ensemble is a multimodel ensemble, but unlike the FSN ensemble, recomputes component model weights every week.
The Beta-transformed linear pool (BLP), proposed by Ranjan and Gneiting (2010), models an ensemble transformed by a Beta distribution
tom mcandrew
Assistant Professor
I am a computational scientist with a methodological focus on developing ensemble forecasting algorithms and extracting statistical information from unstructured human judgment data. The areas of application that interest me most are building tools to combine forecasting and predictive models in the health sciences.